The PGA Tour will head to Minnesota this week for the 2022 3M Open, marking the fourth edition of the tournament. Matthew Wolf (2019), Michael Thompson (2020) and Cameron Champ (2021) were all long shots in their respective 3M Open wins, so should you be targeting long odds with your 2022 3M Open bets? There are several big names at the top of the 3M Open field, including Tony Finau, Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im. Finau is the 12-1 favorite in the latest 2022 3M Open odds at Caesars Sportsbook, with Matsuyama (16-1) and Im (18-1) next in line.
While the golfers returning from the Open Championship at St. Andrews might have a talent advantage, they will have to contend with rested golfers who remained in the United States. Some of the lower-ranked participants are also fighting for a spot in the FedEx Cup Playoffs next month, giving them extra motivation. Before locking in your 2022 3M Open picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven golf model.
In fact, the model is up over $10,300 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.
The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2022 3M Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 3M Open 2022: Finau, a two-time PGA Tour champion and the Vegas favorite, falls short of winning it all and barely cracks the top five. Despite shooting a 66 on Sunday of the British Open, Finau only finished 28th at St. Andrews, which still managed to be his best finish at any major this year. He has as many missed cuts (five) as top 25 finishes in the 2021-22 PGA Tour season and finished 28th at this event last year.
Finau has always been long off the tee but his precision has been a casualty this year. He ranks just 144th in driving accuracy percentage (57.02), which could be detrimental at a course that counts 99 different hazards. Additionally, Finau is having the worst putting season of his career, ranking 148th in strokes gained: putting (-.146). He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 3M Open 2022 field.
Another surprise: Adam Long, a 35-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. Long has had success at this event before, securing a runner-up finish at the 2020 edition with a score of 17-under-par.
Long is also entering the 2022 3M Open in good form, coming off a top-15 finish at the John Deere Classic. He has placed inside the top 15 in three of his last nine tournaments, and this will be a weaker field than normal. Long ranks 14th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: putting, which will give him an excellent opportunity to finish on top of the leaderboard. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2022 3M Open picks
The model is targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big.
Event: 2022 3M Open | Dates: July 21-24
Location: TPC Twin Cities — Blaine, Minnesota
Par: 71 | Yardage: 7,431 | Purse: $7,500,000